Tonights Results 14th March

[Irishadrian]

Bath  2                 Dulwich 1

Chippenham 3      Taunton  1

Concord  1             Chelmsford 2

Farnborough 2       H&W            2

H&R     2                  Cheshunt    1

HH        1                  Braintree     1

Weymouth  2           Hungerford  5

Edited March 15, 2023 by Irishadrian

[Irishadrian]

  On 14/03/2023 at 22:06, Irishadrian said:

Bath  2                   Dulwich 1

Chippenham 3      Taunton  1

Concord  1             Chelmsford 2

Farnborough 2       H&W            2

H&R     2                  Cheshunt    1

HH        1                  Braintree     1

Weymouth  2           Hungerford  5

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Not a bad set of results for us 5 of the bottom 6 all lost Hungerfords 2-5 win at Weymouth the exception

Edited March 14, 2023 by Irishadrian
Correction

[Rebel Wokingham]

Bath beat Dulwich 2-1. 
 

[Curtis]

Looks like the perfect set of results for us.

[Irishadrian]

  On 14/03/2023 at 22:58, Rebel Wokingham said:

Bath beat Dulwich 2-1. 
 

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Thanks corrected

[GlenSTFC]

  On 14/03/2023 at 23:00, Curtis said:

Looks like the perfect set of results for us.

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I wouldn’t call it perfect when 3 of the teams below us won. Had these 3 drawn then yes they’d be the best set of results possible. We’re still only 7 points above safety and have played the most so we’re still quite a few wins from safety. 

[Irishadrian]

Another notable result tonight

Dorchester 0  Beaconsfield 2

[rebelbrewer]

  On 14/03/2023 at 22:06, Irishadrian said:

Bath  2                 Dulwich 1

Chippenham 3      Taunton  1

Concord  1             Chelmsford 2

Farnborough 2       H&W            2

H&R     2                  Cheshunt    1

HH        1                  Braintree     1

Weymouth  2           Hungerford  5

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If Weymouth Hungerford game couldn't be a draw then Hungerford win is marginally better for us (and provided it's not at our expense I'd prefer the Berkshire club to stay up.) Hampton-Cheshunt - Hampton pull closer to us but Cheshunt in deeper trouble.

Chippenham beating Taunton is interesting as whilst it means Chippenham are closer to us it also pulls another club into the mix (Taunton are now below us on points per game.)

[rebelbrewer]

  On 14/03/2023 at 23:44, GlenSTFC said:

I wouldn’t call it perfect when 3 of the teams below us won. Had these 3 drawn then yes they’d be the best set of results possible. We’re still only 7 points above safety and have played the most so we’re still quite a few wins from safety. 

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We're 16th on a points per game basis with a reasonable buffer from the bottom 4. Not time to be complacent but I think we're in a slightly better position than your assessment.

[Reading Rebel]

  On 15/03/2023 at 11:00, rebelbrewer said:

If Weymouth Hungerford game couldn't be a draw then Hungerford win is marginally better for us (and provided it's not at our expense I'd prefer the Berkshire club to stay up.) Hampton-Cheshunt - Hampton pull closer to us but Cheshunt in deeper trouble.

Chippenham beating Taunton is interesting as whilst it means Chippenham are closer to us it also pulls another club into the mix (Taunton are now below us on points per game.)

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Most results went in our favor except the Chippenham result.

Yes we've got more points per game than Taunton but they have 5 games in hand on us.

Taunton will have to collapse in a heap to get dragged into any relegation scrap.

Any club from 14th place downwards are not safe but I reckon the odds must be that the bottom 4 will remain there with possibly Dulwich the other club getting dragged into it. 

[Reading Rebel]

I reckon another 9 points on the board giving us 52 points will make us safe.

Sounds relatively straight forward 9 points from 9 games but our next 3 games on paper look really difficult to get any points from.

Come out of those games with no points and things could look a whole lot more difficult.

[rebelbrewer]

  On 15/03/2023 at 11:17, Reading Rebel said:

Most results went in our favor except the Chippenham result.

Yes we've got more points per game than Taunton but they have 5 games in hand on us.

Taunton will have to collapse in a heap to get dragged into any relegation scrap.

Any club from 14th place downwards are not safe but I reckon the odds must be that the bottom 4 will remain there with possibly Dulwich the other club getting dragged into it. 

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IMHO points per game is the best way to assess games in hand. Taunton's form has collapsed recently.

  On 15/03/2023 at 11:27, Reading Rebel said:

I reckon another 9 points on the board giving us 52 points will make us safe.

Sounds relatively straight forward 9 points from 9 games but our next 3 games on paper look really difficult to get any points from.

Come out of those games with no points and things could look a whole lot more difficult.

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Agree with this

[Reading Rebel]

  On 15/03/2023 at 11:32, rebelbrewer said:

IMHO points per game is the best way to assess games in hand. Taunton's form has collapsed recently.

Agree with this

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I can see where you're coming from RB.

Taunton are going through a rough patch which most clubs do at some point in a season.

At this stage in a season with injuries and tiredness points on the board must be better than games in hand.

I still reckon they'll get enough points to be safe.

Edited March 15, 2023 by Reading Rebel

[rebelbrewer]

  On 15/03/2023 at 11:39, Reading Rebel said:

I can see where you're coming from RB.

Taunton are going through a rough patch which most clubs do at some point in a season.

At this stage in a season with injuries and tiredness points on the board must be better than games in hand.

I still reckon they'll get enough points to be safe.

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I agree - my comment was just maths to be honest. However it's not bad that another team is in the mix - more opportunities for us to be safe. Football web pages now predict us only to get 4 more points and still be safe. Both of these are ridiculous imho. I think we will survive but also will need to get more than 4 more points

[GlenSTFC]

  On 15/03/2023 at 11:07, rebelbrewer said:

We're 16th on a points per game basis with a reasonable buffer from the bottom 4. Not time to be complacent but I think we're in a slightly better position than your assessment.

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But take away our recent draw and 2 wins which to be fair no one probably expected then we’d be a lot closer to trouble. Our issue is lack of games left as had we had the extra 2 or 3 most clubs have then I’d be a lot more confident. I still think we’ll be fine but obviously let’s get to that low 50 point soon so we can relax!

[GlenSTFC]

  On 15/03/2023 at 11:27, Reading Rebel said:

I reckon another 9 points on the board giving us 52 points will make us safe.

Sounds relatively straight forward 9 points from 9 games but our next 3 games on paper look really difficult to get any points from.

Come out of those games with no points and things could look a whole lot more difficult.

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Next week you’ll be saying we need 12 points!!! From the next 3 we need to be aiming for 5 points with Eastbourne for me being the likely win. But even if with that excellent return we could still find our 7 point gap reduced. 

[rebelbrewer]

  On 15/03/2023 at 12:30, GlenSTFC said:

But take away our recent draw and 2 wins which to be fair no one probably expected then we’d be a lot closer to trouble. Our issue is lack of games left as had we had the extra 2 or 3 most clubs have then I’d be a lot more confident. I still think we’ll be fine but obviously let’s get to that low 50 point soon so we can relax!

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But we did get those results so they need to factored in. Points per game still seems best predictor for me...as I said "no time to be complacent" None of us will breathe freely until the club in 21st place mathematically can't catch us.

[Reading Rebel]

  On 15/03/2023 at 12:33, GlenSTFC said:

Next week you’ll be saying we need 12 points!!! From the next 3 we need to be aiming for 5 points with Eastbourne for me being the likely win. But even if with that excellent return we could still find our 7 point gap reduced. 

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Low 50's I'm sure will be safe.

I'd be delighted with 5 points from our next 3 games, can't see it but delighted if we did.

 

[GlenSTFC]

  On 15/03/2023 at 16:44, Reading Rebel said:

Low 50's I'm sure will be safe.

I'd be delighted with 5 points from our next 3 games, can't see it but delighted if we did.

 

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Why not! Can’t see us beating Ebbsfleet but we’re certainly worth a draw if we play to our best plus I’m sure the players will want to showcase themselves on tv! Can see us beating either Eastbourne or Farnborough.

[glyn]

  On 14/03/2023 at 22:58, Rebel Wokingham said:

Bath beat Dulwich 2-1. 
 

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I listened on the radio bit of a relief when Bath got their late goals