Mark44 Posted July 29, 2016 Share Posted July 29, 2016 So Bet365 now have the odds up for our league and we are 3rd least favourites at 50/1 (I have put a few quid on an each way for us at that price........ The favourites are Basingstoke at 9/2 Following them are Hayes, Kettering & Redditch all at 8/1 and then Leamington & Weymouth @ 12/1 If we go by this then the prediction for relegation is Frome, Biggleswade, Slough & Cirencester I must say it shows how little the betting companies know around the goings on in the summer at our level. It seems they have an algorithm that is run which will most probably run that 16th followed by 17th has a high chance of finishing in bottom 3 based on history. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Curtis Posted July 29, 2016 Share Posted July 29, 2016 I can't find that anywhere.... could you please provide a link Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpfc-stfc Posted July 29, 2016 Share Posted July 29, 2016 Hi can only find this Link below: http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/non-league/isthmian-div-1/isthmian-division-one-south/winner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sloughboy Posted July 29, 2016 Share Posted July 29, 2016 https://mobile.bet365.com/#type=Coupon;key=1-172-1-30074468-2-0-0-0-2-0-0-0-0-0-1-0-0-0-0-0-0;ip=0;lng=1;anim=1 Try that one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reading Rebel Posted July 29, 2016 Share Posted July 29, 2016 Some really crazy odds with Cinderford having had to virtually build a new team at 20/1, Kings Langley half of our odds at 25/1 and Cambridge City who also lost a lot of their players at 20/1. Nice little spur for our managers and the team when they see we are at 50/1 one of the favourites to get relegated. I certainly wouldn't mind a little bet on Leamington at 12/1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
staines_rebel_Jr Posted July 29, 2016 Share Posted July 29, 2016 Looking at the same thread from last year. The bookies had Poole (1st), Merthyr (10th) and St Neots (20th) all at joint favourites With bottom four being Slough (17th), Frome (16th), Stratford (19th) and Paulton (24th) So they did get 1st and last placed at the right odds but at the same time got St Neots horribly wrong, although if st Neots had kept Tom Meechan that might have been a different story. For me I think it will be very difficult to pick a league winner right now as on paper a lot of teams look strong. Best guess would be Leamington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reading Rebel Posted July 29, 2016 Share Posted July 29, 2016 I think Basingstoke are the most difficult team to predict. Terry Brown as their manager and being full time are their big plus points but having a new squad comprising of quite a few young players must be an unknown factor for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Graham Cox Posted July 29, 2016 Share Posted July 29, 2016 Remember the bookies gave odds on for UK to remain in the EU...........doubt that any of the layers have ever seen a Southern League match. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reading Rebel Posted July 29, 2016 Share Posted July 29, 2016 Players signed and pre-season results should be the main factors to take into account but then again maybe not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neil Baker Posted July 29, 2016 Share Posted July 29, 2016 They also made Leicester 5000/1 to win the premiership last year!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stuntman Mark Posted July 29, 2016 Share Posted July 29, 2016 The odds seem fair on the basis of our last two showings in this league. It's up to us ALL to prove them wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reading Rebel Posted July 30, 2016 Share Posted July 30, 2016 The odds seem fair on the basis of our last two showings in this league. It's up to us ALL to prove them wrong. If that's all they go by then you're right SM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Curtis Posted July 30, 2016 Share Posted July 30, 2016 Just had a quick look at the sort of line up we had for the beginning of last season:- Scott Fraser Parsons R Hollis McDonald Sear Martin Webb N Harris W Putman Harris S I would expect with Stonehouse, Nisbet, Dunn, Glikes, Moone and James likely to be in opening game starting line up that we will initially be stronger than last season. Some of our very good phases of last season, when we looked like a top 8 club, came though when we had Mpi and Strutton up front, or Benjamin in central midfield..... it will be interesting to see how Moone, James, Barney, Dunn and Glikes compare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REBEL MATTERS Posted August 4, 2016 Share Posted August 4, 2016 Maybe they are taking into account that we appeared to have taken our foot off the pedal last couple of months of the last couple of seasons. Hopefully, we can prove them wrong and see improvement from August through to April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Carpenter Posted August 4, 2016 Share Posted August 4, 2016 But Gilkes will not be playing unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
staines_rebel_Jr Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 So Bet365 now have the odds up for our league and we are 3rd least favourites at 50/1 (I have put a few quid on an each way for us at that price........ The favourites are Basingstoke at 9/2 Following them are Hayes, Kettering & Redditch all at 8/1 and then Leamington & Weymouth @ 12/1 If we go by this then the prediction for relegation is Frome, Biggleswade, Slough & Cirencester I must say it shows how little the betting companies know around the goings on in the summer at our level. It seems they have an algorithm that is run which will most probably run that 16th followed by 17th has a high chance of finishing in bottom 3 based on history. The bookies got it badly wrong. out of those original "favourites" only Leamington have a chance really of winning the league. Current odds on bet 365 Hitchin - 9/4 Chippenham - 9/4 Leamington - 4/1 Slough - 13/2 Merthyr - 10/1 Chesham - 16/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reading Rebel Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 The bookies got it badly wrong. out of those original "favourites" only Leamington have a chance really of winning the league. Current odds on bet 365 Hitchin - 9/4 Chippenham - 9/4 Leamington - 4/1 Slough - 13/2 Merthyr - 10/1 Chesham - 16/1 10-1 Merthyr looks tempting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matt Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 10-1 Merthyr looks tempting. It was even more tempting at 20/1! Too tempting in fact! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stan Posted February 14, 2017 Share Posted February 14, 2017 Don't worry too much about bookies getting it wrong from here . There job is not to predict the winner but to provide odds based on where the money is flowing. Only when they first publish odds is it their guess, after that it's purely where the punters money goes that drives the odds. If people back a team then the odds fall irrespective of real results to protect the bookmaker. A result like Leicester last year is a massive win for the bookies. The earned millions from the people who bet on Man City, Chelsea , Spurs etc. And paid a few thousand to a couple of people who backed Leicester. So at this stage the odds reflect the 'wisdom of the heard' or rather that part that likes a bet. Whoever wins the race , the clever bookie is always in the money . As my old grandad always said to me ( when he sent me to put his bets on) , ' when you go into a betting shop there is a reason why there are 3 windows for paying in but only 1 for paying out ! ' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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